The Reserve Bank of India has toned down its expectation of the stress that banks may face as a result of the Covid crisis, after initially cautioning that non performing assets could nearly double due to the hit to economic activity. According to stress tests conducted by the RBI: The gross NPA ratio for the banking sector could rise to 9.8% by March 2022 under a baseline, as compared with 7.48 in March 2021. The baseline scenario used in the current stress tests in one where GDP growth for FY22 is at 9.5%. In January, the RBI had said the gross NPA ratio of banks could rise to 13.5% by Sept. 30, 2021 under the then assumed baseline scenario of 0% GDP growth in the second half of FY21. Under the medium stress scenario, where GDP growth is at 6.5%, the gross NPA ratio could rise to 10.36 percent